Monday, 01 December 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
Fed cut rates even as many of its policymakers worried about inflation, minutes show
Thursday, 20 November 2025 04:06 WIB | FISCAL & MONETARY |Federal Reserve

A divided Federal Reserve cut interest rates last month even as many policymakers cautioned that lowering borrowing costs further could risk undermining the fight to quell inflation that has been above the U.S. central bank's 2% target for four and a half years, the minutes from the October 28-29 meeting showed on Wednesday.

"Many participants were in favor of lowering the target range for the federal funds rate," the minutes stated, while noting some members of that group also would have been satisfied if the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee had left rates steady.

Several others opposed the rate cut outright, and "expressed concern that progress toward the Committee's 2% inflation objective had stalled while also noting that longer-term inflation expectations could rise should inflation not return to 2% in a timely manner."

In addition, "most participants noted that further policy rate reductions could add to the risk of higher inflation becoming entrenched or could be misinterpreted as implying a lack of policymaker commitment to the 2% inflation objective," the minutes added.

U.S. stocks pared gains slightly after the release of the minutes. Traders now see only about a one-in-four chance the Fed will cut rates in December, based on short-term interest-rate futures pricing.

Shortly before the release of the minutes, President Donald Trump repeated his criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's stewardship of the central bank, saying he'd "love to fire his ass" for not cutting rates faster.

The Fed's rate-setting committee voted 10-2 at last month's meeting to cut the benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to the 3.75%-4.00% range, with the two dissents unusually split in favor of both tighter and looser monetary policy.

The minutes suggested a spirited search for compromise as officials grappled with the lack of data due to the recent U.S. government shutdown, weighed risks of rising inflation against the risks of a weakening job market, and even cautioned against the possibility of a "disorderly fall in equity prices" if there was an "abrupt reassessment" of investments in artificial intelligence.

Powell said in unusually blunt terms in his press conference on October 29 that a rate cut at the Fed's December 9-10 meeting was not a "foregone conclusion."

"There's a growing chorus now of feeling like maybe this is where we should at least wait a cycle" before considering another rate cut, Powell told reporters.

The "chorus" was described in the minutes, with policymakers cut into three different groups in their discussion of the December meeting.

"Several" participants saw a December reduction as likely appropriate, several others saw lower rates as eventually appropriate though not necessarily as of December, while "many participants" had already ruled out a December cut.

With official data releases suspended ahead of the October meeting due to the shutdown, officials were left to evaluate alternative information, which may have added to an emerging sense of caution about further monetary easing.

Source: Invsting.com

RELATED NEWS
Divided Fed sparks surge in rate options hedging as policy uncertainty lingers...
Friday, 28 November 2025 19:54 WIB

Conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve on the timing and magnitude of U.S. interest rate cuts have accelerated hedging flows into swaptions and derivatives tied to overnight rates, with investor...

US rate cut almost fully priced in for December...
Thursday, 27 November 2025 16:21 WIB

Markets are pricing in a near-certain 25bp Fed cut in December, influenced by dovish Fed chatter and signs of a slowing US economy, while the US Dollar (USD) shows mixed reactions. Kevin Hassett seen...

Good chance Trump may unveil Fed pick by Christmas, Bessent says...
Wednesday, 26 November 2025 15:58 WIB

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Tuesday he was concluding a second round of interviews later in the day for a new U.S. Federal Reserve leader, and there was a good chance President Donal...

Fed Chair Powell's allies to open path for Dec rate cut...
Tuesday, 25 November 2025 16:53 WIB

Allies of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have laid the groundwork for him to push through an interest rate cut during the central bank's December 9-10 meeting, the Wall Street Journal's Nick Timi...

Fed's Goolsbee uneasy about rate cuts, says nothing wrong with dissenting...
Friday, 21 November 2025 04:48 WIB

Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Thursday said he is uneasy about cutting interest rates in the face of too-high inflation that's steady at best and by some measures getting worse,...

LATEST NEWS
Gold Falls Slightly, Is There a Big Signal the Market is Waiting For?

Gold prices weakened in early December, dragged down by investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve's looming interest rate decision. Amid speculation that the Fed was ready to cut rates again this month, market participants opted to hold back,...

US Economy Sends Mixed Signals, Asian Markets Immediately Uneasy

Asian stock markets fluctuated at the start of the week, following the modest gains in US stocks last Friday. Investors are now turning their attention to a series of key economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cut...

What's Really Driving Oil?

Oil prices rose again after OPEC+ confirmed plans to temporarily halt production increases during the first quarter. This Saudi Arabia-led decision is considered a response to seasonally weaker market conditions. Brent is now trading above $63 per...

POPULAR NEWS
CME Halts Futures Trading Following Data Center Cooling Issue.
Friday, 28 November 2025 15:47 WIB

Trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) was halted on Friday (November 28th) following a cooling issue at one of its data centers. "Due to...

Divided Fed sparks surge in rate options hedging as policy uncertainty lingers
Friday, 28 November 2025 19:54 WIB

Conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve on the timing and magnitude of U.S. interest rate cuts have accelerated hedging flows into swaptions...

European markets close higher after choppy month; Delivery Hero gains almost 15%
Saturday, 29 November 2025 00:24 WIB

European stocks ended Friday in positive territory as investors digested the end of a choppy month. The pan-European Stoxx 600 closed the session...

European Stocks Set to End November Little Changed
Friday, 28 November 2025 16:06 WIB

Both the STOXX 50 and the STOXX 600 hovered around the flatline on the final trading day of a volatile November, as the recent rally in global...